Farm App

Farm App is an application designed to help farmers to predict reliable onset days. It also gives farmers access to the dry spell risks associated with the planting season depending on the onset strategy used for onset. Cessation dates for the different planting strategy is also provided for by the application.

This application is designed to cater for maize farmers of Uasin Gishu County only, the bread basket of Kenya. This application was designed in line to help facilitate food security in the country that recently has proved to be of national concern. The unpredictable weather patterns have over the past few years, made farming in Uasin Gishu County challenging. The rains have come early, delayed or rained in abundance. This has resulted in crop failure due to poor planning by the farmers. A good example is the years 2017 where the rains delayed resulting in many farmers having to replant due to crop failure and the 2018 where the rains came early and in abundance getting the farmers not ready to plant with some having not even prepared their farms. All these have an impact to the yield and translate to food security issues.

This application tries to solve the above problem by analyzing the historical rainfall of uasin Gishu County. It takes into account daily rainfall for six weather stations, Eldoret Meteorological station, Eldoret international Airport Meteorological station, Turbo weather station, Moiben Weather station, Timboroa weather station and Moi University weather station. It analyzes the rainfall data in the sequence discussed;

Onset of the planting season is first defined to be a day between 1st of March and 20th of April, and during this period there should be an initial rain of at least 40mm for a period of four consecutive days. The day meeting the above criteria define onset for each respective year. These onsets for the past 32 years are fit into a distribution and probabilistic analysis done. From the analysis, the onset strategies are defined as to be either very early (0.1), early (0.2), normal (0.5), late (0.8) or very late (0.9). These days are given to the farmer to choose on the favorable strategy of choice after accessing the probability levels of success of the respective strategies.

Depending on the strategy selected, the maize crop will grow through the different stages to maturity to attain the desirable yield. This application, depending on the strategy selected by the farmer is able to indicate the probability of experiencing dry spells in each of the seasons; initial, development, middle and final stage. A dry spell is defined as a period of ten consecutive days with no rain at all. The application is able to calculate the possible end of rains for the season of the different respective onset strategy selected. This is defined as the cessation.

It is of my view of this application will be of great assistance to farmers in planning and coordinating their farming activities. In future this application will continue to work on other factors apart from rainfall that influence farming. Please download and review my app….cheers!

Farm App是一个旨在帮助农民预测可靠发病日的应用程序。它还使农民能够获得与种植季节相关的干旱风险，具体取决于发病的起病策略。申请还提供了不同种植策略的停止日期。

该应用程序旨在满足肯尼亚面包篮Uasin Gishu县的玉米农民的需求。该申请旨在帮助促进最近被证明是国家关注的国家的粮食安全。过去几年不可预测的天气模式使得Uasin Gishu县的农业变得充满挑战。雨水来得很早，延迟或下雨。由于农民的规划不善，导致作物歉收。一个很好的例子是2017年的降雨导致许多农民由于作物歉收而不得不重新种植，而2018年降雨来得很早，并且农民没有准备好种植，有些甚至没有准备他们的农场。所有这些都对产量产生影响并转化为粮食安全问题。

本申请试图通过分析uasin Gishu县的历史降雨来解决上述问题。它考虑了六个气象站，Eldoret气象站，Eldoret国际机场气象站，Turbo气象站，Moiben气象站，Timboroa气象站和Moi大学气象站的每日降雨量。它按照讨论的顺序分析降雨数据;

种植季节的开始首先定义为3月1日至4月20日之间的一天，并且在此期间应该连续四天的初始降雨量至少为40mm。满足上述标准的那一天定义了每个年份的开始时间。过去32年的这些启动适用于分布和概率分析。从分析中，发病策略被定义为非常早（0.1），早期（0.2），正常（0.5），晚期（0.8）或非常晚期（0.9）。这些天给予农民在获得相应策略的成功概率水平后选择有利的选择策略。

  根据所选择的策略，玉米作物将在不同的成熟阶段生长，以达到理想的产量。根据农民选择的策略，此应用程序能够指示每个季节中经历干咒的概率;初始，发展，中期和最后阶段。干咒被定义为连续十天没有下雨的时期。该应用程序能够计算所选择的不同相应起始策略的季节的可能的降雨结束。这被定义为停止。

我认为这一应用对农民规划和协调农业活动有很大帮助。将来，除了影响农业的降雨之外，该应用还将继续研究其他因素。请下载并查看我的应用程序... .cheers！